On July 19, after 103 matches have been played, only two teams will remain standing at the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
Those two nations, each chasing soccer immortality, will meet at New York New Jersey Stadium in what is expected to be one of the biggest sporting events ever held in the United States.
So which countries are most likely to make it all the way to the title game?
Let’s take a look at the latest odds to reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final at FanDuel Sportsbook as of July 3.
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To Reach World Cup Final
France: -110 (bet $10 to win $19.09 total)
Argentina: +160 (bet $10 to win $26 total)
Spain: +270 (bet $10 to win $37 total)
England: +370 (bet $10 to win $47 total)
Brazil: +400 (bet $10 to win $50 total)
Portugal: +800 (bet $10 to win $90 total)
Mexico: +1000 (bet $10 to win $110 total)
Colombia: +1000 (bet $10 to win $110 total)
Morocco: +1100 (bet $10 to win $120 total)
USA: +1400 (bet $10 to win $150 total)
Norway: +1500 (bet $10 to win $160 total)
Switzerland: +1600 (bet $10 to win $170 total)
Belgium: +1900 (bet $10 to win $200 total)
Here’s what to know about this oddsboard.
Long Shot History: While no true long shot has ever won the World Cup, Croatia was one of the biggest long shots ever to reach a World Cup final, entering the 2018 tournament at 30-1 odds. While the Croatians ultimately fell to France in the final, they still rewarded bettors with a massive payout in this market after their stunning run to the championship. Croatia has now been eliminated this summer as it lost in heartbreaking fashion against Portugal on Thursday.
The Favorites: France and Argentina are the two favorites to reach the final. Oddsmakers view the two powerhouses as the most likely finalists, with many expecting at least one, and potentially both, to play for the trophy on July 19. France rose after sweeping its first three games of the tournament and clinching Group I. Now, after its dominating win over Sweden in the Round of 32, Les Bleus has jumped from +130 to -110, going under even money for the first time since the tournament began. Meanwhile, after winning Group J and drawing the easier side of the bracket, Argentina jumped up the board. If the odds hold true, we would get a rematch of the iconic 2022 World Cup final, a game many consider to be the greatest World Cup match of all time.
Biggest Riser: On Tuesday, Mexico jumped from +2200 to +1000 to reach the final after its dominating 2-0 win in the Round of 32. El Tri will face England in the Round of 16 on Sunday. Meanwhile, USA climbed to +1400 after its win over Bosnia and Herzegovina. The U.S. will face Belgium on Monday.
