The knockout stage never disappoints, and it doesn’t appear like it will at the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
After its dominant 3-0 win over Sweden on Tuesday, France has extended its gap as the favorite to win the World Cup. And while France remains the heavy favorite, the United States surged up the oddsboard after its 2-0 win over Bosnia and Herzegovina on Wednesday.
It is the first American team to win three matches at a single World Cup.
On Thursday, in one of the best games of the tournament so far, Portugal came back to beat Croatia 2-1. Cristiano Ronaldo’s first career World Cup knockout stage goal leveled the score on a 68th minute penalty.
Then, chaos emerged in stoppage time. After Gonçalo Ramos’s brilliant header put Portugal in front, Croatia’s last-second equalizer was disallowed due to a VAR offsides decision. As a result, Portugal has advanced to the Round of 16, and its odds to win the World Cup have surged from +1600 to +1300.
Let’s dive into the full odds via FanDuel Sportsbook as of July 3.
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2026 World Cup Winner Odds
France: +180 (bet $10 to win $28 total)
Argentina: +400 (bet $10 to win $50 total)
Spain: +650 (bet $10 to win $75 total)
England: +900 (bet $10 to win $100 total)
Brazil: +1000 (bet $10 to win $110 total)
Portugal: +1300 (bet $10 to win $140 total)
Morocco: +2500 (bet $10 to win $260 total)
United States: +3000 (bet $10 to win $310 total)
Mexico: +3000 (bet $10 to win $310 total)
Colombia: +3000 (bet $10 to win $310 total)
Norway: +4000 (bet $10 to win $410 total)
Belgium: +4500 (bet $10 to win $460 total)
Switzerland: +5500 (bet $10 to win $560 total)
Canada:+25000 (bet $10 to win $2,510 total)
Here’s what to know about this oddsboard:
The Favorite: France is the solo favorite atop the oddsboard. It opened its pursuit for a third World Cup title with a 3-1 win against Senegal and a dominant 3-0 win over Iraq. Les Bleus followed that up with a 4-1 win over Norway on Friday to clinch Group I. Now, after another commanding win, in which it scored three goals yet again, this time in the Round of 32, France will play Paraguay in a Round of 16 showdown on July 4.
Upset City: Prior to Monday’s Germany-Paraguay matchup, the Germans were a -700 favorite to advance to the Round of 16, after having won Group E. Meanwhile, Paraguay finished third in Group D and lost 4-1 to the United States to open the tournament. But none of that mattered on Monday, after Paraguay took a 1-0 lead, then held on to force the game to penalty kicks, where it defeated Germany 4-3. Wow. Germany had previously never lost a penalty shootout in World Cup history (4-0). It was one of the largest upsets in World Cup history based on ranking, with Germany ranked 10th in the world and Paraguay ranked 41st.
